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  5. Simulation of dependence of electro-consumption from temporal factor

Simulation of dependence of electro-consumption from temporal factor

O.B. Ahiezer, R.S. Pevnyi, E.L. Pirotti
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Possibility of the use of stochastic process in the capacity of mathematical model of 24-hour consumption of electric energy is examined, and the prognosis of consumption of electric power by separate region during one month is done. By a regressive analysis, confidence intervals were estimated for the individual mean values of this consumption. Obtained experimentally values confirm efficiency of the built mathematical model.
Keywords: energy consumption, stochastic process, spectral decomposition, cross-correlation function, prognosis, statistical methods of analysis