Description: Considered possibility of receipt of quality current and prognosis estimations in relation to complication of operative situation in the field of public law enforcement. Offered typical variants of development and normalization of social conflicts. Offered method of receipt of such estimations, developed criteria and proper typical elements of conclusions. It is made an example of conducting of calculations and forming of general conclusions.
Keywords: mass disturbances, complication of operative situation, prognostications, sentinel row, tendency, conclusions