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  5. Methodical approach to evaluation of the threat of application of the military force against Ukraine in hybrid war

Methodical approach to evaluation of the threat of application of the military force against Ukraine in hybrid war

V. Komarov
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Description: In today's conditions of conducting a hybrid war against Ukraine, the question of determining an effective and adequate system of indicators for assessing the intentions and actions of the opposite military-political force deserves special attention. At the stages of preparation and at the beginning of the hybrid war, when the actual intentions and actions of the enemy are concealed or carried out demonstratively under the guise of other measures or legends, the traditional system of indicators of evaluation is not suitable for the fulfillment of the tasks of providing government with relevant information. To eliminate this discrepancy, a methodological approach is proposed, the main point of which is to create a single information space, similar to a coordinate system, by imposing certain evaluation indicators that reflect the intentions and actions of the opposite military-political force on the components of the model of the hybrid war. Its practical application will make it possible to carry out a forecast of the situation on the intentions and actions implemented by the opponent, as well as to establish causal links between its previous and future intentions and actions in all spheres of ensuring the national security of Ukraine.


Keywords: military security, hybrid war, system of evaluation indicators, enemy's intentions and actions

Reference:
 Komarov, V.S. (2017), “Metodychnyi pidkhid do otsiniuvannia rivnia zahrozy zastosuvannia voiennoi syly proty Ukrainy v umovakh hibrydnoi viiny” [Methodical approach to evaluation of the threat of application of the military force against Ukraine in hybrid war], Systems of Arms and Military Equipment, No. 3(51), pp. 152-155.