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  5. Method of forecasting dynamics of development of capacity Armed Forces of Ukraine according to efficiency assembly of financial resources

Method of forecasting dynamics of development of capacity Armed Forces of Ukraine according to efficiency assembly of financial resources

O. Semenenko, O. Vodchyts, R. Boyko, S. Maslovsky, A. Berdochnik
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Description: The article proposes a method for forecasting the dynamics of the capabilities development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which will allow more accurately to assess the acquired level of capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine according to the determined amounts of financing for their development, and also the developed method will allow forecasting the dynamics of the level of capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the planned period. Correctness of the received assessments is conditioned by taking into account during the estimation and forecasting of the level of capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine influences of the factors of sufficiency of the level of their financing over the past period and the efficiency of the development of public funds in the programs (plans) of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The study and analysis of the current state of this issue shows that the question of implementing the planning method on the basis of the possibilities of the defense planning system becomes rapidly relevant. Defense-based capacity-based planning is a new issue for Ukraine, so existing approaches to assessing the probabilities, and even more so predicting their dynamics, do not always meet the requirements for effective use of the capacity-based planning methodology. The method proposed by the authors is an integral part of the general methodology of military-economic substantiation of the programs (plans) of the development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.


Keywords: method of planning on the basis of capabilities, forecasting the dynamics of development of capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, sufficiency of financing, efficiency of development of funds, need for financial resources, level of inflation, estimation of the level of capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Reference:
 Semenenko, O.M., Vodchyts, O.H., Boiko, R.V., Maslovskyi, S.S. and Berdochnyk, A.D. (2018), “Metod prohnozuvannia dynamiky rozvytku spromozhnostei Zbroinykh Syl Ukrainy z urakhuvanniam efektyvnosti osvoiennia finansovykh resursiv” [Method of forecasting dynamics of development of capacity Armed Forces of Ukraine according to efficiency assembly of financial resources], Scientific Works of Kharkiv National Air Force University, Vol. 2(56), pp. 28-38. https://doi.org/10.30748/zhups.2018.56.04.