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  5. Adaptive control method of integrated counteraction potential against detected (forecasted) threats of military security of the state

Adaptive control method of integrated counteraction potential against detected (forecasted) threats of military security of the state

V. Bohdanovytch, I. Svyda, А. Syrotenko
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Description: One of the main requirements to reforming the Security and Defence Sector of Ukraine lies in efficient usage of available capabilities, integration of which allows to avoid the duplication of missions and inefficient spending the extremely limited resources provided for the development of Ukrainian military security. The elaboration of adaptive control method of integrated counteraction potential (ACM ICP) against the detected (forecasted) threats aimed at the enhancement of effective functioning of military security support system when material, human and other resources are restricted. Given ACM ICP allows to explain the most effective capabilities and resources for the threat decrease, to assess necessary capacities for eliminating the identified military and hybrid threats, some components of Security and Defense Sector under the common command and to adjust them to the levels and types of threats. As a result, it will be possible to exploit available military and non-military means for ensuring military security. This method provides the best determination and performance of partial neutralizing missions of entities/actors within given recourses. The method is based on the expert system theory and methodology, enhanced hierarchy analyses method, Ishikawa Expert Assessment Method. The ACM ICP is oriented on the prior applying non-military methods and means of the national interest protection according to the Guidelines of the national security of Ukraine. The Structural logic scheme of the method has been provided. The adaption is carried out according to the level and type of detected threat by identifying the minimum sufficient group of Security and Defence Sector entities able to eliminate the threat to required level. The adaption to the estimated level of the forecasted threats is carried out by identifying the necessary capabilities of some actors in the focused group to decrease the forecasted threats up a desired level in the frames of recourses given by the state and non-state agencies.


Keywords: military threat, threat counteractions, military security, integrated counteraction potential, adaptive control method of integrated counteraction, model, security and defence sector, neutralizing missions

Reference:
 Bohdanovych, V.Yu., Svyda, I.Yu. and Syrotenko, A.M. (2018), “Metod adaptyvnoho upravlinnia intehrovanym potentsialom protydii vyiavlenii (prohnozovanii) zahrozi voiennii bezpetsi derzhavy” [Adaptive control method of integrated counteraction potential against detected (forecasted) threats of military security of the state], Science and Technology of the Air Force of Ukraine, No. 3(32), pp. 7-13. https://doi.org/10.30748/nitps.2018.32.01.