S.V. Onyshchuk

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Based on the analysis of existing methodological approaches to predicting illegal activities on the border suggested use for predicting illegal activities crossing points outside mathematical models based on fuzzy logic. Developed a mathematical model for predicting illegal activities in the areas of responsibility of guarding the state border crossing points outside using fuzzy logic and carried out its verification. The complexity of constructing a model of fuzzy inference with lots of input parameters is solved by constructing a hierarchical tree fuzzy inference.