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  5. Methods of forecasting of ecological risks from pollution of atmospheric air

Methods of forecasting of ecological risks from pollution of atmospheric air

I.А. Ushakova, O.I. Katasonova
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The basic stages of procedure of an estimation of ecological risk of negative influence of atmospheric air pollution by emissions from the enterprises of thermal power on human health are considered and defined. Ecological risks by a standard technique by definition of indexes of non-carcinogenic danger and individual and collective carcinogenic risks are estimated. The fuzzy model of complicated ecological risk is constructed. On model values of ecological risk on 10-mark scale taking into account influence of weather conditions on value of risk are estimated/
Keywords: atmosphere pollution by emissions TPS, fuzzy model of complicated ecological risk